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Red130
394432.3
547518.1
149227.3
Blue54
553915.1
84223.2
237517.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53522040608010012013054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.35.1
17.822.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 9.0
842
#21
23.20.1
25.525.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
27.34.6
22.527.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 9.9
2375
#20
17.40.1
16.716.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5475
#17
18.14.6
13.718.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 3.1
5539
#25
15.10.1
13.413.3
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0