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Red68
302118.5
378518.0
170019.8
Blue42
315822.5
41113.9
414624.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801001201406842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#13
19.80.7
19.420.1
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4146
#31
24.20.1
15.815.7
Auto0.0
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
3021
#14
18.50.6
17.618.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 4.0
22.50.1
22.622.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
3785
#26
18.00.7
19.820.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 14.1
4111
#40
3.90.1
5.04.9
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End0.0