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Red50
24496.2
284010.4
394432.3
Blue62
163312.4
247826.1
101118.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385101001502002505062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.9
22.923.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 6.2
26.11.0
24.425.4
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
2840
#36
10.40.9
11.212.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1011
#28
18.51.0
17.218.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
2449
#41
6.20.9
7.58.4
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 6.2
1633
#32
12.41.0
9.610.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0