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Red69
266219.6
52078.6
313317.3
Blue47
240317.3
40187.1
416018.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384401001502006947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2662
#15
19.61.8
16.518.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.9
4160
#19
18.70.2
19.819.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
3133
#22
17.31.8
17.018.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Level
2403
#30
17.30.2
18.819.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5207
#35
8.61.8
6.58.3
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 1.5
4018
#37
7.10.2
5.85.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0