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Red116
301920.8
418334.8
385318.3
Blue54
318710.4
69817.2
264718.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59360208010012014016011654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.82.9
23.126.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 16.7
2647
#18
18.10.8
15.916.7
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
3019
#16
20.83.6
18.822.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 3.6
698
#24
17.20.8
14.415.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
3853
#12
18.33.6
15.919.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 8.0
3187
#39
10.40.8
10.811.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0