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Red38
240315.8
498512.0
473526.7
Blue73
116530.1
484113.8
378525.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355601001502003873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.1
16.716.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
1165
#11
30.10.9
26.927.8
Auto0.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
2403
#28
15.80.1
14.414.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 9.7
25.50.9
18.719.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
4985
#24
12.00.1
8.48.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4841
#14
13.80.9
8.89.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0