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Red54
414625.9
456516.7
28447.2
Blue149
172636.1
330972.7
149227.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3011405010015020025054149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#12
25.90.5
23.624.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 46.9
72.72.5
50.753.2
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
4565
#22
16.70.8
12.213.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 19.4
36.13.1
25.929.0
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Third
2844
#32
7.20.8
8.49.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 20.3
27.52.5
28.330.8
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0