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Red74
323061.5
28447.2
46298.1
Blue44
249322.7
99117.8
240315.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634802040801001201407444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.8
50.451.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 38.8
22.70.4
21.220.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
4629
#29
8.11.4
3.65.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 9.7
991
#21
17.80.4
16.616.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
2844
#32
7.21.4
9.210.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 8.6
2403
#28
15.80.4
14.413.9
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0