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Qual 162015 Arizona West Regional
Red132
521811.4
212279.5
507517.3
Blue34
149227.5
318716.8
510110.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67430208010012014016013234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
79.53.3
50.2→53.5
Auto0.8
Teleop78.8
End0.0
red by 52.0
1492
#4
27.50.7
30.8→30.1
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
5075
#20
17.35.5
8.8→14.3
Auto0.4
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
3187
#17
16.80.7
8.5→7.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5218
#25
11.45.5
7.0→12.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 0.6
5101
#26
10.81.2
8.8→7.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0