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Red142
237520.2
357722.1
330972.7
Blue82
129020.5
366923.0
473526.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9154015020014282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.72.7
53.255.9
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 46.0
26.71.0
16.617.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
22.12.7
17.520.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3669
#13
23.01.0
18.819.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
2375
#16
20.22.7
17.820.5
Auto0.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1290
#10
20.51.0
26.027.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0