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Red142
484113.8
212279.5
498512.0
Blue14
240315.8
50597.5
507517.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions772205010015020014214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.53.6
53.557.0
Auto0.8
Teleop78.8
End0.0
red by 62.3
5075
#20
17.30.9
14.313.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
4841
#14
13.83.6
8.812.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2403
#28
15.80.6
13.913.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
4985
#24
12.05.9
8.614.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 4.5
5059
#34
7.50.9
3.02.0
Auto0.3
Teleop7.2
End0.0