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Red150
456516.7
330972.7
49625.0
Blue57
121211.9
33217.6
318716.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821305010015020015057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.73.8
55.959.7
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 56.0
3187
#17
16.81.6
7.89.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
4565
#22
16.76.4
10.016.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
1212
#30
11.92.7
10.713.4
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
4962
#33
5.06.4
7.814.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3321
#31
7.62.7
5.68.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0