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Red45
49821.4
378525.5
249322.7
Blue59
116530.1
46298.1
366923.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614702040801001204559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.8
18.317.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 4.7
1165
#11
30.10.4
26.326.7
Auto0.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
22.70.8
20.820.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3669
#13
23.00.4
19.820.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
498
#23
21.40.8
22.021.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 13.3
4629
#29
8.10.6
5.05.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0