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Red14
520013.8
313316.0
473526.7
Blue56
28447.2
323061.5
129020.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21970501502001456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.7
17.616.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 34.8
61.51.6
51.249.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
3133
#27
16.00.7
11.610.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 4.5
1290
#10
20.51.6
27.125.4
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5200
#18
13.81.2
5.03.8
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
2844
#32
7.22.7
10.67.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0