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Qual 312015 Arizona West Regional
Red150
473526.7
484113.8
323061.5
Blue140
330972.7
49821.4
99117.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7799050150200250300150140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
61.53.3
52.2→55.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
blue by 11.2
3309
#2
72.72.3
61.5→63.8
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
4735
#5
26.73.3
19.4→22.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
498
#23
21.42.3
22.4→24.8
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4841
#14
13.83.3
11.6→15.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
991
#21
17.82.3
15.5→17.8
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End0.0