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Red26
237520.2
33217.6
318716.8
Blue0
498512.0
46298.1
313316.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402206080100260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#16
20.20.6
20.720.1
Auto0.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
3133
#27
16.01.0
11.010.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
3187
#17
16.80.6
11.911.2
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
4985
#24
12.01.6
11.49.8
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
3321
#31
7.61.1
6.05.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4629
#29
8.11.6
3.31.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0