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Red46
49625.0
129020.5
116530.1
Blue16
507517.3
28447.2
510110.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74210501001502004616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#11
30.11.1
29.228.0
Auto0.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 12.9
5075
#20
17.31.2
13.312.1
Auto0.4
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
1290
#10
20.51.1
25.324.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 9.7
5101
#26
10.81.2
9.38.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
4962
#33
5.01.9
14.112.3
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2844
#32
7.21.2
7.66.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0