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Red107
456516.7
172636.1
378525.5
Blue68
469617.4
50597.5
357722.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6726040608010012014016010768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.12.2
29.731.9
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 14.0
22.11.7
18.219.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
25.52.2
17.419.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 8.1
4696
#15
17.41.7
13.515.3
Auto1.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4565
#22
16.73.6
16.320.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 9.2
5059
#34
7.52.9
2.04.8
Auto0.3
Teleop7.2
End0.0