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Red20
49821.4
521811.4
498512.0
Blue129
212279.5
520013.8
357722.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3996015020025020129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#23
21.41.5
24.823.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 58.1
79.51.9
63.965.9
Auto0.8
Teleop78.8
End0.0
Second
4985
#24
12.02.5
9.87.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 10.1
22.11.9
19.921.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5218
#25
11.42.5
15.012.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5200
#18
13.83.2
6.39.6
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0