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Red92
494422.9
121211.9
330972.7
Blue30
249322.7
237520.2
510110.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117330501001502002509230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.5
63.863.3
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 50.0
22.70.9
18.817.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
4944
#19
22.90.5
25.224.8
Auto1.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
2375
#16
20.20.9
20.119.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
1212
#30
11.90.8
18.617.8
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 1.1
5101
#26
10.81.4
8.16.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0