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Red73
28447.2
473526.7
414625.9
Blue62
378525.5
507517.3
469617.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801007362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.1
22.723.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
25.50.8
19.620.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
4146
#12
25.91.1
22.323.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
4696
#15
17.40.8
15.316.0
Auto1.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
2844
#32
7.21.8
6.48.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 10.1
5075
#20
17.31.3
12.113.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.9
End0.0