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Red80
507517.3
323061.5
99117.8
Blue25
50597.5
494422.9
28447.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108210501502008025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.9
61.560.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 38.6
4944
#19
22.90.5
22.421.9
Auto1.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
991
#21
17.80.9
18.217.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 10.3
5059
#34
7.50.5
5.24.7
Auto0.3
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
5075
#20
17.30.9
18.117.3
Auto0.4
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 10.1
2844
#32
7.20.5
7.77.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0