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Red82
510110.8
484113.8
366923.0
Blue28
378525.5
129020.5
521811.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376001001502008228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#13
23.02.0
20.622.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
25.51.5
22.921.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
4841
#14
13.82.0
12.414.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1290
#10
20.51.5
22.621.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5101
#26
10.82.0
8.810.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5218
#25
11.41.5
12.911.4
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0