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Red48
105838.8
12556.7
371926.4
Blue56
331446.8
17643.9
540013.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122960501502004856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#16
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 9.9
3314
#29
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
1058
#21
38.80.0
38.838.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
176
#10
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
3719
#12
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 13.3
5400
#41
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0