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Red127
22829.0
216856.9
355519.3
Blue136
50145.7
112447.8
13832.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97126050150200250300127136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop57.6
End0.0
red by 9.0
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
228
#18
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 16.8
501
#31
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Third
3555
#24
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 13.3
138
#27
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0