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Qual 162015 BattleCry 16
Red66
234259.9
199134.6
568611.0
Blue10
13124.4
409722.0
16643.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10583501506610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#37
59.90.0
59.9→59.9
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 16.5
166
#30
43.40.0
43.4→43.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
1991
#23
34.60.0
34.6→34.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 10.2
131
#47
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
5686
#32
11.00.0
11.0→11.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 11.0
4097
#38
22.00.0
22.0→22.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0