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Red61
71624.8
83931.4
128915.5
Blue40
23065.3
395823.2
323624.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6011901001502002506140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#13
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 34.0
230
#35
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
716
#44
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3236
#49
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
1289
#28
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 7.7
3958
#46
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0