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Red60
371926.4
46731.9
395823.2
Blue44
115320.8
17246.7
99961.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681340501001502002506044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#19
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 29.1
999
#7
61.00.0
61.061.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
3719
#12
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 20.3
172
#36
46.70.0
46.746.7
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
3958
#46
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 2.4
1153
#42
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0