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Red60
18126.5
409722.0
323624.9
Blue38
352528.6
110040.2
511228.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66990501502006038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#52
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 13.8
1100
#39
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
3236
#49
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5112
#43
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
4097
#38
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 6.7
3525
#26
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0