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Qual 392015 BattleCry 16
Red110
13832.6
15730.2
147418.8
Blue119
395823.2
511228.7
456454.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74108050150200110119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#27
32.60.0
32.6→32.6
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 21.6
4564
#15
54.20.0
54.2→54.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Second
157
#25
30.20.0
30.2→30.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
5112
#43
28.70.0
28.7→28.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
1474
#55
18.80.0
18.8→18.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3958
#46
23.20.0
23.2→23.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0