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Red134
110040.2
99961.0
19586.2
Blue184
234259.9
206770.3
216856.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181180140160170190134184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 15.9
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
Second
999
#7
61.00.0
61.061.0
Auto0.3
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
2342
#37
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Third
1100
#39
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 16.7
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop57.6
End0.0