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Qual 412015 BattleCry 16
Red114
264822.9
12556.7
346764.2
Blue117
512250.3
46731.9
568611.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15079050100200250114117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#17
64.20.0
64.2→64.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 13.9
5122
#6
50.30.0
50.3→50.3
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Second
125
#16
56.70.0
56.7→56.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 24.8
467
#19
31.90.0
31.9→31.9
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
2648
#54
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 11.9
5686
#32
11.00.0
11.0→11.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0