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Red71
71624.8
226213.5
352528.6
Blue140
50145.7
105838.8
107334.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53126010015020025071140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#26
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 17.1
501
#31
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Second
716
#44
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 14.0
1058
#21
38.80.0
38.838.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
2262
#34
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 21.1
1073
#48
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0