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Red134
417619.2
17643.9
199134.6
Blue106
128915.5
331446.8
112447.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92109050150200250300134106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 3.9
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
1991
#23
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
blue by 12.2
3314
#29
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Third
4176
#40
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
1289
#28
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0