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Red66
371926.4
17246.7
88541.9
Blue61
12660.0
23065.3
18126.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031540502002503006661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#36
46.70.0
46.746.7
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 18.6
230
#35
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
885
#53
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
blue by 18.1
126
#9
60.00.0
60.060.0
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
Third
3719
#12
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
181
#52
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0