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Red103
271328.1
568611.0
173541.6
Blue138
283672.3
456454.2
371926.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621630100150200250103138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#50
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 30.8
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
2713
#33
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 26.1
4564
#15
54.20.0
54.254.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Third
5686
#32
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 15.4
3719
#12
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0