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Red44
147418.8
23065.3
355519.3
Blue102
226213.5
17643.9
46731.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038305015020044102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#35
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 21.4
176
#10
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
3555
#24
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 12.6
467
#19
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
1474
#55
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 5.3
2262
#34
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0