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Red140
88541.9
31957.1
404853.8
Blue194
9528.8
283672.3
112447.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148143100120160180200140194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
57.10.0
57.157.1
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 15.3
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
4048
#11
53.80.0
53.853.8
Auto0.9
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
47.80.0
47.847.8
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
885
#53
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 13.1
95
#20
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0