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Red44
46731.9
16643.4
128915.5
Blue34
105838.8
173541.6
18126.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841070501502002504434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#30
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
1735
#50
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Second
467
#19
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1058
#21
38.80.0
38.838.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
1289
#28
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 11.0
181
#52
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0