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Red80
46731.9
50145.7
540013.1
Blue118
12119.9
83931.4
199134.6
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8982406010012014080118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#31
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
red by 11.2
1991
#23
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
467
#19
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 0.6
839
#13
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
5400
#41
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 6.8
121
#22
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto1.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0