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Red146
283672.3
409722.0
17643.9
Blue78
512250.3
13832.6
107334.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381095015020014678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
red by 22.0
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Second
176
#10
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 9.3
1073
#48
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
4097
#38
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 10.7
138
#27
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0