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Red20
248915.5
64931.4
186817.1
Blue28
417111.3
247312.1
304518.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7419040601001201401602028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#3
31.42.4
24.522.2
Auto4.3
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 13.3
3045
#27
18.10.0
14.714.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
1868
#15
17.12.4
19.417.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 5.0
2473
#22
12.10.0
9.79.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
2489
#36
15.52.4
23.721.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
4171
#16
11.30.0
4.24.2
Auto0.8
Teleop10.6
End0.0