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Red46
107219.1
170024.0
28545.2
Blue54
476510.0
70150.8
25611.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39980501502004654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.2
19.118.9
Auto1.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 26.8
701
#24
50.81.9
72.170.2
Auto1.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Second
1072
#13
19.10.2
19.619.4
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 7.8
256
#21
11.41.9
11.49.5
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
2854
#29
5.20.2
11.311.1
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 4.8
4765
#11
10.02.1
8.56.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End0.0