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Red92
570012.7
64931.4
425516.2
Blue64
145824.8
186817.1
170024.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496301001502002509264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#3
31.42.2
22.224.4
Auto4.3
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 6.6
1458
#25
24.80.1
26.927.0
Auto0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
4255
#14
16.22.2
19.121.4
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
24.00.1
18.919.0
Auto1.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
5700
#10
12.72.2
12.114.4
Auto0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
1868
#15
17.10.1
17.017.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0