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Red48
502711.0
214418.5
247312.1
Blue104
25611.4
325641.6
417111.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742010015020048104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.9
18.219.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 23.1
41.63.1
28.231.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop41.9
End0.0
Second
2473
#22
12.10.9
6.27.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 0.7
256
#21
11.43.1
7.810.9
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
5027
#30
11.00.9
6.27.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4171
#16
11.33.1
5.18.3
Auto0.8
Teleop10.6
End0.0