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Red22
415913.9
418611.4
70150.8
Blue14
49046.4
248915.5
10018.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106240501502002214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#24
50.83.7
66.762.9
Auto1.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 31.9
100
#17
18.91.2
16.315.1
Auto0.8
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
4159
#12
13.93.7
16.312.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2489
#36
15.51.2
18.617.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
4186
#33
11.43.7
13.810.1
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
4904
#31
6.41.2
2.91.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0