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Red28
425516.2
543014.4
196718.5
Blue18
264327.2
28545.2
350125.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457401001502002818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.2
17.716.5
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
2643
#19
27.22.7
30.928.3
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
4255
#14
16.21.2
21.420.2
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 9.2
3501
#26
25.42.7
29.126.4
Auto1.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
5430
#20
14.41.2
12.611.4
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 9.2
2854
#29
5.22.7
11.99.2
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0