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Qual 232015 CalGames
Red102
971102.6
64931.4
107219.1
Blue22
50263.8
67030.5
186817.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1493505010020025030010222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
102.61.7
93.2→91.5
Auto9.6
Teleop93.0
End0.0
red by 72.0
670
#18
30.51.6
33.3→31.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
649
#3
31.41.7
24.4→22.7
Auto4.3
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 14.3
1868
#15
17.11.6
17.1→15.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
1072
#13
19.11.7
18.4→16.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 15.3
5026
#32
3.81.6
4.4→2.8
Auto0.4
Teleop3.4
End0.0