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Red50
49909.6
385937.5
51049.8
Blue46
476510.0
66825.3
570012.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493502060801001205046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.1
28.828.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 12.2
668
#34
25.30.4
17.617.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
5104
#28
9.80.1
11.211.3
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5700
#10
12.70.4
14.414.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
4990
#35
9.60.1
8.78.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4765
#11
10.00.4
6.77.0
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End0.0