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Red14
70150.8
570012.7
214418.5
Blue54
66825.3
425516.2
84640.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98660501501454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#24
50.84.1
62.958.8
Auto1.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 10.6
846
#5
40.21.0
35.534.5
Auto1.3
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
18.54.1
19.115.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 6.9
668
#34
25.31.0
17.916.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5700
#10
12.74.1
14.710.6
Auto0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4255
#14
16.21.0
20.219.2
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0